Some recent papers:

Analysis of MH370 PSR Data (April 23, 2018).  Using primary surveillance radar (PSR) that has been recently released, Mike Exner estimates the geometric altitude of MH370 as it flew near the civilian radar installation at Kota Bharu. The available data set contains the slant range and azimuth as a function of time. Because the calculated horizontal speed near the radar head is a function of the assumed geometric altitude, the actual geometric altitude may be estimated by constraining the speed to be continuous across the “Cone of Silence”.  Mike estimates the altitude to be 43,000 ft or perhaps higher.

The Probable End Point of MH370  (February 14, 2017). Using data available from the Global Drifter Program, Richard Godfrey develops a detailed drift model to estimate where MH370 might have crashed. The timing and location of debris recovered from the shores of East Africa suggest a crash site along the 7th arc at around 30S latitude, which is north of the seabed area that was searched. Richard finds that a great circle path ending at Wilkins Runway, Antarctica, provides a reasonable match to the satellite data.

Further Analysis of Simulator Data Related to MH370 (Nov 29, 2016). Co-author Yves Guillaume and I discover that the individual data points recovered from the captain’s computer have markers indicating that they were from a single simulated flight from Kuala Lumpur to the Malacca Strait, to the Andaman Sea, and ending in the Southern Indian Ocean. The simulated flight path is similar to the actual flight path we believe MH370 followed.

Possible Flight Path of MH370 towards McMurdo Station, Antarctica (August 25, 2016). Co-author Richard Godfrey and I use the simulator data found on the captain’s computer to estimate the crash site of MH70 in the Southern Indian Ocean. The calculated terminus at 26.9S latitude is well north of the seabed that was searched.

Captain Zaharie Shah’s Recovered Flight Simulator Information: Preliminary Assessment from the MH370 Independent Group (August 14, 2016). Data sets from Captain Zaharie Shah’s home computer related to his activities using Microsoft Flight Simulator were contained in a secret report from the Royal Malaysian Police that was made available to the IG. The data sets were deleted from a computer drive and are consistent with a simulated flight to the Southern Indian Ocean.

China’s Pattern of Deception about MH370 (May 18, 2016). I look at the timeline of actions and statements made by China after the disappearance of MH370 and discover a pattern of deception.

Some Observations on the Radar Data for MH370 (August 18, 2015). Using the available radar data, I reconstruct MH370’s flight path after the turn back towards Malaysia until the last radar capture in the Malacca Strait.